FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)FCS Arena, Schaffhausen
The Footlab model makes FC Schaffhausen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate FC Schaffhausen (1,769) and Bavois (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schaffhausen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bellinzona(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rorschach(away) | 4-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Schaffhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bavois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen 3-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bavois 3-0 FC Schaffhausen | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Schaffhausen score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schaffhausen | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Schaffhausen sit 1st in 1. Liga Promotion (12 points from 4 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schaffhausen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois?
- The Footlab model makes FC Schaffhausen the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Bavois.
- Where and when is FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois played?
- FC Schaffhausen vs Bavois is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at FCS Arena, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.