Bavois vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Peupliers, Bavois
The Footlab AI model makes Bavois the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bavois wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bavois vs Lugano II?
On Elo ratings, Bavois has 1,506 points and Lugano II 1,433.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bavois vs Lugano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bavois
Not enough data to predict the Bavois lineup.
Lugano II
Not enough data to predict the Lugano II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bavois have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lugano II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bavois wins, 2 draws, 2 Lugano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lugano II 3-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bavois 4-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lugano II 1-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Lugano II 0-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bavois 3-4 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Bavois 3-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Bavois score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bavois | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bavois sit 16th in 1. Liga Promotion (8 points from 11 matches) and Lugano II sit 15th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Bavois vs Lugano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bavois vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bavois the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Bavois vs Lugano II played?
- Bavois vs Lugano II is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Peupliers, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.