Lugano II vs Bavois: result 3-2 and analysis
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
Full time
What was the result of Lugano II vs Bavois?
Lugano II won 3-2 on August 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′L. JaquenoudBavois
- 19′Christian RaffaLugano II
- 26′678917Lugano II
- 41′Bryan ZurmuhleLugano II
- 83′J. HautierBavois
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bavois win at 54%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugano II wins, 2 draws, 2 Bavois wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bavois 4-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lugano II 1-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Lugano II 0-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bavois 3-4 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Bavois 3-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Lugano II 2-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano II sit 15th in 1. Liga Promotion (13 points from 14 matches) and Bavois sit 18th (8 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lugano II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 13 |
| 18 | Bavois | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lugano II vs Bavois?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy