Bayer Leverkusen vs AEK Larnaca: result 4-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 4, 2018 at 04:55 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen
Full time
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs AEK Larnaca?
Bayer Leverkusen won 4-2 on October 4, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 25′I. TrichkovskiAEK Larnaca
- 44′K. HavertzBayer Leverkusen
- 49′L. AlarioBayer Leverkusen
- 87′L. AlarioBayer Leverkusen
- 90′D. RaspasAEK Larnaca
- 90′J. BrandtBayer Leverkusen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-4 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2018 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Ludogorets(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Bayern München(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2018 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2018 | FC Zurich(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2018 | AS Trencin(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 23, 2018 | AS Trencin(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bayer Leverkusen score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy