Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Borussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,107).

Bayer Leverkusen win54 %

Draw22 %

Borussia Mönchengladbach win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Schott Mainz(away)	5-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	SSVg Velbert(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Jan 18, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2024	Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach	Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023	Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.9	0.9	6	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.