Bayern Alzenau vs Baunatal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion im Sportzentrum am Prischoß, Alzenau
The Footlab model makes Bayern Alzenau the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayern Alzenau vs Baunatal?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Bayern Alzenau (1,787) and Baunatal (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern Alzenau have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fernwald(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bayern Alzenau win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Baunatal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | Baunatal 3-3 Bayern Alzenau | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bayern Alzenau 1-3 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Baunatal 0-0 Bayern Alzenau | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Bayern Alzenau 3-0 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Baunatal 2-0 Bayern Alzenau | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Bayern Alzenau 2-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Baunatal vs Bayern Alzenau on Nov 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern Alzenau score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Alzenau | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayern Alzenau sit 14th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and Baunatal sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bayern Alzenau | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayern Alzenau vs Baunatal?
- The Footlab model makes Bayern Alzenau the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Baunatal.
- Where and when is Bayern Alzenau vs Baunatal played?
- Bayern Alzenau vs Baunatal is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion im Sportzentrum am Prischoß, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.