FC Gießen vs Baunatal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Gießen, Gießen
The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Baunatal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gießen vs Baunatal?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate FC Gießen (1,806) and Baunatal (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gießen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Gießen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Baunatal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal 0-0 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 2, 2026 | Baunatal 1-3 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | FC Gießen 4-3 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Gießen 4-0 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Baunatal 2-2 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 18, 2023 | FC Gießen 3-0 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gießen sit 15th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and Baunatal sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gießen vs Baunatal?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Baunatal.
- Where and when is FC Gießen vs Baunatal played?
- FC Gießen vs Baunatal is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Gießen, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Vfb MarburgvsHünfelder SV
- Nov 21, 2026FernwaldvsBayern Alzenau
- Nov 21, 2026HummetrothvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Nov 21, 2026HadamarvsDarmstadt 98 II
- Nov 22, 2026KasselvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Nov 22, 2026EddersheimvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Nov 22, 20261960 HanauvsKassel 2
- Nov 22, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsFriedberg