Bayreuth vs Buchbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, Bayreuth
The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayreuth vs Buchbach?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Bayreuth (1,832) and Buchbach (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayreuth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayreuth win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Buchbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Buchbach 1-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Buchbach 4-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Bayreuth 0-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Buchbach 0-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayreuth sit 10th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 5 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayreuth vs Buchbach?
- The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Bayreuth vs Buchbach played?
- Bayreuth vs Buchbach is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsMemmingen
- Mar 6, 2027Bayern München IIvsIllertissen
- Mar 6, 2027AubstadtvsEichstätt
- Mar 6, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Mar 6, 2027EltersdorfvsAugsburg II
- Mar 6, 2027Schwaben AugsburgvsAnsbach
- Mar 6, 2027VilzingvsWacker Burghausen
- Mar 6, 2027LandsbergvsTSV 1860 München