Where and when is Buchbach vs Bayreuth played?

Buchbach vs Bayreuth is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buchbach vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach

Buchbach

Bayreuth

The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buchbach vs Bayreuth?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,861) and Bayreuth (1,824).

Buchbach win43 %

Draw24 %

Bayreuth win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buchbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ansbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Aubstadt(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Eichstätt(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayreuth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Illertissen(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	FC Schweinfurt 05(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Memmingen(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026	Greuther Fürth II(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Augsburg II(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bayreuth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 13, 2026	Buchbach 1-1 Bayreuth	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 29, 2025	Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Nov 2, 2024	Buchbach 4-1 Bayreuth	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 20, 2024	Bayreuth 2-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Mar 30, 2024	Bayreuth 0-2 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Sep 15, 2023	Buchbach 0-1 Bayreuth	Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Buchbach vs Bayreuth on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buchbach	1.9	2.1	3	9/15	11/15
Bayreuth	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	5	3	2	0	12	4	11
10	Bayreuth	5	2	1	2	9	7	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Bayreuth?: The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth.
Where and when is Buchbach vs Bayreuth played?: Buchbach vs Bayreuth is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.