Beijing Guoan vs Melbourne Victory: result 3-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League EliteGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 24, 2020 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Full time
What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Melbourne Victory?
Beijing Guoan won 3-1 on November 24, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 22′Renato AugustoBeijing Guoan
- 34′AlanBeijing Guoan
- 74′Wang ZimingBeijing Guoan
- 78′G. IannucciMelbourne Victory
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beijing Guoan have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Melbourne Victory have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2020 | FC Seoul(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Nov 11, 2020 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2020 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2020 | Guangzhou Evergrande FC(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Guangzhou Evergrande FC(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2020 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Perth Glory(away) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Aug 3, 2020 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Western United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
How many goals should we expect?
Beijing Guoan score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne Victory score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Melbourne Victory | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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