Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Beitar Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (2,061 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-3 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 5-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva is played on January 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.