Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Haifa. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 5-0 Hapoel Haifa | State Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Haifa.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is played on January 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.