Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Beitar Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Beitar Jerusalem (2,079) and Maccabi Tel Aviv (2,097).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 2, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 4-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-6 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 24, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 5-0 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Beitar Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.