Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Beitar Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Beitar Jerusalem have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Beitar Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | State Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 0-5 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi Tiberias | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Tiberias on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.