Match

Beith vs Renfrew: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bellsdale Park, Beith

BeithRenfrew

The Footlab model makes Beith the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beith vs Renfrew?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Beith (1,576) and Renfrew (1,527).

Beith win48 %
Draw21 %
Renfrew win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Beith have 5 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beith
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Troon FC(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(away)1-7Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)2-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Kilwinning Rangers(away)2-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Cumnock Juniors(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Renfrew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Caledonian Braves(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Troon FC(away)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Celtic II(home)3-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Pollok(home)1-4Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Beith score 2.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 11; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beith2.22.5110/1111/11
Renfrew1.53.305/65/6

Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beith sit 19th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 6 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Beith621311197
30Renfrew60159201

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beith vs Renfrew?
The Footlab model makes Beith the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Renfrew.
Where and when is Beith vs Renfrew played?
Beith vs Renfrew is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bellsdale Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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