Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Renfrew the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Johnstone Burgh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renfrew wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Renfrew (1,520) and Johnstone Burgh (1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Renfrew
Not enough data to predict the Renfrew lineup.
Johnstone Burgh
Not enough data to predict the Johnstone Burgh lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Renfrew have 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Beith(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newton Stewart(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 4-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Renfrew wins, 0 draws, 1 Johnstone Burgh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh 3-2 Renfrew | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renfrew score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 12; Johnstone Burgh score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renfrew | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/12 | 11/12 |
| Johnstone Burgh | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renfrew sit 23rd in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 11 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 13th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 23 | Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 10 |
A question about Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Renfrew the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Johnstone Burgh.
- Where and when is Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh played?
- Renfrew vs Johnstone Burgh is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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