Belarus vs Luxembourg: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 15, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)ZTE-Aréna, Zalaegerszeg
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What was the result of Belarus vs Luxembourg?
Belarus and Luxembourg drew 1-1 on October 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 54′S. PolitevichBelarus
- 78′G. RodriguesLuxembourg (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belarus have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Luxembourg have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Northern Ireland(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Luxembourg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Bulgaria(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Israel(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Russia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bulgaria(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Belarus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2024 | France(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Belarus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Luxembourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Luxembourg 0-1 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Luxembourg 0-2 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Belarus 1-0 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Luxembourg 1-0 Belarus | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 10, 2016 | Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Belarus score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 0.6 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Luxembourg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy