Lithuania vs Romania: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 15, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of Lithuania vs Romania?
Romania won 1-2 on October 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. KučysLithuania (pen.)
- 18′R. MarinRomania (pen.)
- 65′D. DrăguşRomania
Official lineup for Lithuania vs Romania
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lithuania
4-2-3-1- 11A. Kučys
- 13J. Lasickas
- 22P. Golubickas
- 14V. Slivka
- 15G. Gineitis
- 6M. Vorobjovas
- 3A. Tutyškinas
- 4E. Girdvainis
- 2R. Lekiatas
- 17P. Širvys
- 12E. Gertmonas
Romania
4-3-3- 13V. Mihăilă
- 19D. Drăguş
- 20D. Man
- 10N. Stanciu
- 6M. Marin
- 18R. Marin
- 23D. Sorescu
- 15A. Burcă
- 3R. Drăgușin
- 2A. Rațiu
- 1F. Niţă
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Romania have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Kosovo(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Romania(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Cyprus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Latvia(away) | 2-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Cyprus(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Lithuania(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Kosovo(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 0-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Slovakia(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lithuania wins, 0 draws, 3 Romania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Romania 3-1 Lithuania | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Romania 3-0 Lithuania | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Lithuania 1-2 Romania | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Romania score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Romania | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 3 matches) and Romania sit 4th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LithuaniaGroup B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | RomaniaGroup D | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Lithuania vs Romania?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy