Belenenses vs U. Madeira: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 26, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
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What was the result of Belenenses vs U. Madeira?
Belenenses won 1-0 on October 26, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 90′Tiago David Janeiro CaeiroBelenenses
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belenenses have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; U. Madeira have 1, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 4, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 1, 2015 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Arouca(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2015 | Estoril(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2015 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Belenenses score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; U. Madeira score 0.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belenenses | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| U. Madeira | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy