Arouca vs Tondela: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Tondela?
Arouca and Tondela drew 1-1 on October 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 47′Romário BaldéTondela
- 59′Ivo RodriguesArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tondela have 1, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2015 | SC Braga(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2015 | U. Madeira(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2015 | FC Porto(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Maritimo(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Estoril(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 0.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Tondela | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/7 | 1/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy