Bellinzona vs YF Juventus: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona
The Footlab model makes YF Juventus the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bellinzona vs YF Juventus?
YF Juventus starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bellinzona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; YF Juventus have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 1-6 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bellinzona win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 YF Juventus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | Bellinzona 3-0 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 9, 2021 | YF Juventus 1-4 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 8, 2021 | Bellinzona 1-1 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2020 | YF Juventus 3-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 24, 2019 | YF Juventus 1-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Bellinzona 1-0 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Bellinzona vs YF Juventus on Apr 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; YF Juventus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| YF Juventus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bellinzona sit 18th in 1. Liga Promotion (0 points from 4 matches) and YF Juventus sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | YF Juventus | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bellinzona vs YF Juventus?
- The Footlab model makes YF Juventus the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Bellinzona vs YF Juventus played?
- Bellinzona vs YF Juventus is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.