YF Juventus vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Juchhof R4, Zürich
The Footlab model makes YF Juventus the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win YF Juventus vs Bellinzona?
YF Juventus starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, YF Juventus have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 1-6 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 YF Juventus win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bellinzona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | Bellinzona 3-0 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 9, 2021 | YF Juventus 1-4 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 8, 2021 | Bellinzona 1-1 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2020 | YF Juventus 3-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 24, 2019 | YF Juventus 1-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Bellinzona 1-0 YF Juventus | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Bellinzona vs YF Juventus on Apr 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
YF Juventus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YF Juventus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
YF Juventus sit 16th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | YF Juventus | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for YF Juventus vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab model makes YF Juventus the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is YF Juventus vs Bellinzona played?
- YF Juventus vs Bellinzona is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Juchhof R4, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.