Bellinzona vs Young Boys II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona
The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Young Boys II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Bellinzona (1,590) and Young Boys II (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bellinzona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Young Boys II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 23, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bellinzona win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Young Boys II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | Young Boys II 1-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Bellinzona 2-0 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Young Boys II vs Bellinzona on Nov 20, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Young Boys II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Young Boys II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bellinzona sit 18th in 1. Liga Promotion (0 points from 4 matches) and Young Boys II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Young Boys II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bellinzona vs Young Boys II?
- The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Bellinzona vs Young Boys II played?
- Bellinzona vs Young Boys II is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.