Beluša vs Častkovce: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Štadión TJ Kovo Beluša, Beluša
The Footlab model makes Beluša the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Častkovce. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beluša vs Častkovce?
Beluša starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beluša have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Častkovce have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokol Borský Mikuláš(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa(away) | 3-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Častkovce(away) | 4-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nitra(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MŠK Senec(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Beluša(home) | 1-4 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beluša win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Častkovce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Častkovce 1-4 Beluša | 3. liga - West |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Beluša 1-1 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Beluša 2-5 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Častkovce 0-2 Beluša | 3. liga - West |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Častkovce 1-2 Beluša | 3. liga - West |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Beluša 0-0 Častkovce | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Beluša score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Častkovce score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beluša | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Častkovce | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beluša sit 10th in 3. liga - West (43 points from 32 matches) and Častkovce sit 16th (26 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Beluša | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 49 | 43 |
| 16 | Častkovce | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 65 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beluša vs Častkovce?
- The Footlab model makes Beluša the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Častkovce.
- Where and when is Beluša vs Častkovce played?
- Beluša vs Častkovce is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión TJ Kovo Beluša, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.