Match

Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves: prediction and stats

NPFLRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Uniben Sport Complex, Benin City

Bendel InsuranceWarri Wolves

The Footlab model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Warri Wolves. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves?

Bendel Insurance starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,547).

Bendel Insurance win67 %
Draw21 %
Warri Wolves win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bendel Insurance have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Warri Wolves have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bendel Insurance
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026El Kanemi Warriors(home)3-3Federation Cup
Jun 1, 2026Crown FC(home)3-1Federation Cup
May 24, 2026Remo Stars(home)1-1NPFL
May 10, 2026Enugu Rangers(away)1-2NPFL
May 4, 2026Katsina United(home)1-0NPFL
Warri Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2026Bida Lions(away)0-2Federation Cup
May 24, 2026Abia Warriors(home)2-1NPFL
May 10, 2026Kano Pillars(away)0-1NPFL
May 3, 2026Plateau United(home)1-0NPFL
Apr 19, 2026Nasarawa United(away)0-3NPFL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bendel Insurance win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Warri Wolves win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Warri Wolves 0-0 Bendel InsuranceNPFL
Nov 1, 2025Bendel Insurance 1-1 Warri WolvesNPFL

Last archived meeting: Warri Wolves vs Bendel Insurance on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bendel Insurance score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warri Wolves score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bendel Insurance1.41.358/159/15
Warri Wolves0.91.465/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bendel Insurance sit 7th in NPFL (53 points from 37 matches) and Warri Wolves sit 15th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bendel Insurance37131410433853
15Warri Wolves38131015364149

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves?
The Footlab model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Warri Wolves.
Where and when is Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves played?
Bendel Insurance vs Warri Wolves is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Uniben Sport Complex, in the NPFL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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