Benevento vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Carrarese?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Carrarese have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 5-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Benevento win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carrarese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Benevento 2-2 Carrarese | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 28, 2024 | Carrarese 1-0 Benevento | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Benevento vs Carrarese on Jun 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Carrarese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benevento sit 15th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Carrarese sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carrarese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Benevento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Carrarese played?
- Benevento vs Carrarese is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.