Carrarese vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Ascoli?
Ascoli starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 62T. Milanese
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ascoli have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Carrarese wins, 1 draw, 0 Ascoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 12th in Serie B (7 points from 7 matches) and Ascoli sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Carrarese vs Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ascoli the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Ascoli played?
- Carrarese vs Ascoli is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.