Benevento vs Modena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Modena. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Modena?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Modena have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 5-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Benevento win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Modena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Benevento 2-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Modena 1-1 Benevento | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Modena score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Modena | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 36 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Modena?
- The Footlab model makes Benevento the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Modena.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Modena played?
- Benevento vs Modena is played on August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.