Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,845) and Virtus Entella (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Entella have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Bari(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sudtirol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Virtus Entella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sudtirol 0-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Sudtirol | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 16th in Serie B (41 points from 38 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (42 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 42 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella played?
- Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella is played on August 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.