Berca vs Blejoi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Berca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Blejoi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berca vs Blejoi?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Berca (1,415) and Blejoi (1,418).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Berca have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Blejoi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 2-6 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Berca score 3.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 2; Blejoi score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berca | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Blejoi | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berca vs Blejoi?
- The Footlab model makes Berca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Blejoi.
- Where and when is Berca vs Blejoi played?
- Berca vs Blejoi is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.