Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centrul de Fotbal Buftea Teren Natural, Buftea
The Footlab model makes Tunari the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Flacăra Moreni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Tunari (1,579) and Flacăra Moreni (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tunari have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 15, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tunari win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Flacăra Moreni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Tunari 4-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 0-1 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 19, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-2 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 3, 2023 | Tunari 6-1 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-0 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Tunari 2-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tunari score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunari | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab model makes Tunari the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Flacăra Moreni.
- Where and when is Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centrul de Fotbal Buftea Teren Natural, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.