Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BELKAW-Arena, Bergisch Gladbach
The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Bergisch Gladbach (1,916) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen (1,981).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergisch Gladbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Rot-weiss Oberhausen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1-1 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2-1 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen on Feb 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-weiss Oberhausen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Rot-weiss Oberhausen sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-weiss Oberhausen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach.
- Where and when is Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen played?
- Bergisch Gladbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BELKAW-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Bonner SCvsBochum II
- Aug 28, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Aug 28, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsFC Gutersloh
- Aug 29, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Aug 29, 2026Köln IIvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Aug 29, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsWiedenbrück
- Aug 29, 2026HildenvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Aug 29, 2026Paderborn IIvsFC Bocholt