Match

Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln

Köln IISportfreunde Lotte

The Footlab model makes Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Köln II (1,870) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,874).

Köln II win45 %
Draw25 %
Sportfreunde Lotte win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Köln II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)2-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 16, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026Borussia Dortmund II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Wiedenbrück(home)2-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Köln II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Köln II 1-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Aug 24, 2025Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 Köln IIRegionalliga - West
Apr 25, 2025Köln II 1-3 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Nov 2, 2024Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Köln IIRegionalliga - West
Mar 5, 2022Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Köln IIRegionalliga - West
Sep 25, 2021Köln II 4-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Köln II1.31.8111/1511/15
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Köln II4211567
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
The Footlab model makes Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Köln II and Sportfreunde Lotte

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