Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Köln II (1,870) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köln II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Köln II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Köln II 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Köln II 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Köln II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Köln II 4-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Köln II score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Köln II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Köln II sit 5th in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Köln II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- Köln II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Bonner SCvsBochum II
- Aug 28, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Aug 28, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsFC Gutersloh
- Aug 29, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Aug 29, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Aug 29, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsWiedenbrück
- Aug 29, 2026HildenvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Aug 29, 2026Paderborn IIvsFC Bocholt