Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1/128-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Berkhamsted wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,925) and Cray Wanderers (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berkhamsted
Not enough data to predict the Berkhamsted lineup.
Cray Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Cray Wanderers lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Berkhamsted vs Cray Wanderers is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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