Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1/128-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Aveley (1,872) and Carshalton Athletic (1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aveley
Not enough data to predict the Aveley lineup.
Carshalton Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Carshalton Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ware(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Southall(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aveley win, 4 draws, 1 Carshalton Athletic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aveley 0-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 1-1 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Aveley 0-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Carshalton Athletic 1-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 16, 2019 | Aveley 2-0 Carshalton Athletic | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Carshalton Athletic 3-3 Aveley | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aveley the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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