Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hasestadion, Bersenbrück
The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bersenbrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Bersenbrück (1,729) and Spelle-Venhaus (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bersenbrück have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spelle-Venhaus have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bersenbrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Spelle-Venhaus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bersenbrück 2-2 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-2 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 6, 2025 | Bersenbrück 4-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-2 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-3 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Bersenbrück 1-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bersenbrück sit 13th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 2 matches) and Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus?
- The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bersenbrück.
- Where and when is Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus played?
- Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hasestadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.