Spelle-Venhaus vs Bersenbrück: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 9Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, Spelle
The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Bersenbrück. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spelle-Venhaus vs Bersenbrück?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Spelle-Venhaus (1,795) and Bersenbrück (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spelle-Venhaus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bersenbrück have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Heeslinger SC(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spelle-Venhaus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bersenbrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bersenbrück 2-2 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-2 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 6, 2025 | Bersenbrück 4-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-2 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Spelle-Venhaus 4-3 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Bersenbrück 1-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Bersenbrück vs Spelle-Venhaus on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (6 points from 2 matches) and Bersenbrück sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spelle-Venhaus vs Bersenbrück?
- The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Bersenbrück.
- Where and when is Spelle-Venhaus vs Bersenbrück played?
- Spelle-Venhaus vs Bersenbrück is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.