Bersenbrück vs Verden 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Hasestadion, Bersenbrück
The Footlab model makes Bersenbrück the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bersenbrück vs Verden 04?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Bersenbrück (1,729) and Verden 04 (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bersenbrück have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Verden 04 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bersenbrück win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Verden 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Verden 04 4-0 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bersenbrück 3-2 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Bersenbrück 2-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Verden 04 6-1 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Verden 04 vs Bersenbrück on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bersenbrück sit 13th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 2 matches) and Verden 04 sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bersenbrück vs Verden 04?
- The Footlab model makes Bersenbrück the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Bersenbrück vs Verden 04 played?
- Bersenbrück vs Verden 04 is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Hasestadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.