Spelle-Venhaus vs Nordhorn: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, Spelle
The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Nordhorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spelle-Venhaus vs Nordhorn?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Spelle-Venhaus (1,799) and Nordhorn (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spelle-Venhaus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Nordhorn have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BW Lohne(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 24, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordhorn score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Nordhorn | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2 | 0/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (7 points from 3 matches) and Nordhorn sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Nordhorn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spelle-Venhaus vs Nordhorn?
- The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Nordhorn.
- Where and when is Spelle-Venhaus vs Nordhorn played?
- Spelle-Venhaus vs Nordhorn is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.