Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli: prediction and stats
1st DivisionMatchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab AI model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Burreli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Besëlidhja Lezhë wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,502) and Burreli (1,489).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Besëlidhja Lezhë
4-3-3- DD. Marku
- KKlodian Vukaj
- AA. Tatej
- NN. Marku
- TT. Gjoka
- DD. Përlesi
- KK. Dibra
- SS. Ruqi
- KK. Alcani
- RR. Gjikolaj
- BB. Hoxha
Burreli
Not enough data to predict the Burreli lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Burreli have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Oriku(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 5-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bylis(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FK Kukesi(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Besëlidhja Lezhë win, 3 draws, 2 Burreli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Burreli 0-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Burreli 0-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-1 Burreli | 1st Division |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Burreli 3-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-5 Burreli | 1st Division |
| Oct 14, 2021 | Burreli 2-4 Besëlidhja Lezhë | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burreli score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Burreli | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Besëlidhja Lezhë sit 7th in 1st Division (14 points from 10 matches) and Burreli sit 10th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Burreli | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Burreli.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Burreli is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.