Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi: prediction and stats
1st DivisionMatchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec
The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Korabi Peshkopi. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Pogradeci starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,527).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Korabi Peshkopi
Not enough data to predict the Korabi Peshkopi lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Korabi Peshkopi have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(away) | 2-3 | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Oriku(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bylis(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Burreli(home) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bylis(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pogradeci wins, 0 draws, 1 Korabi Peshkopi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi 0-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Pogradeci 4-1 Korabi Peshkopi | 1st Division |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Pogradeci 3-1 Korabi Peshkopi | 1st Division |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Pogradeci 4-3 Korabi Peshkopi | Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Korabi Peshkopi 1-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Korabi Peshkopi 3-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogradeci score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Korabi Peshkopi score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogradeci | 1.7 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Korabi Peshkopi | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogradeci sit 5th in 1st Division (17 points from 10 matches) and Korabi Peshkopi sit 9th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pogradeci | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Korabi Peshkopi.
- Where and when is Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi played?
- Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.