Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab model makes Iliria Fushë-Krujë the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Iliria Fushë-Krujë starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,596 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Iliria Fushë-Krujë have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Apolonia Fier(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Iliria Fushë-Krujë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2025 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-2 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0-1 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Feb 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iliria Fushë-Krujë score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes Iliria Fushë-Krujë the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.