Burreli vs Pogradeci: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Liri Ballabani, Burreli
The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Burreli. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Pogradeci starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burreli vs Pogradeci
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burreli
Not enough data to predict the Burreli lineup.
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burreli have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Pogradeci have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Eagle FA(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oriku(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-3 | 1st Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Delvina(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burreli wins, 0 draws, 3 Pogradeci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Burreli 0-3 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Pogradeci 2-0 Burreli | 1st Division |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Burreli 2-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Burreli 0-1 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Burreli 1-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Pogradeci 0-2 Burreli | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Burreli score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burreli | 1.0 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogradeci | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burreli sit 9th in 1st Division (5 points from 4 matches) and Pogradeci sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Burreli vs Pogradeci?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burreli vs Pogradeci?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Burreli.
- Where and when is Burreli vs Pogradeci played?
- Burreli vs Pogradeci is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Liri Ballabani, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.