Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kastrioti Krujë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,442) and Kastrioti Krujë (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kastrioti Krujë have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 0-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Laci(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kastrioti Krujë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2020 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Kastrioti Krujë 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Kastrioti Krujë 0-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Kastrioti Krujë 3-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë on Jul 11, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kastrioti Krujë score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kastrioti Krujë | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kastrioti Krujë.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.