Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec
The Footlab model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Sopoti Librazhd. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Pogradeci starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sopoti Librazhd have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 11, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-3 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Vora(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Erzeni Shijak(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 0-4 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tërbuni Pukë(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogradeci win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sopoti Librazhd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Sopoti Librazhd 2-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Pogradeci 1-0 Sopoti Librazhd | 1st Division |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Sopoti Librazhd 0-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Sopoti Librazhd 0-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Pogradeci 1-1 Sopoti Librazhd | 1st Division |
| Mar 21, 2015 | Pogradeci 2-1 Sopoti Librazhd | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Sopoti Librazhd vs Pogradeci on Dec 3, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Pogradeci score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sopoti Librazhd score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogradeci | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sopoti Librazhd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 68 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
- The Footlab model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Sopoti Librazhd.
- Where and when is Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd played?
- Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.