BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ratchaburi. The most likely score is 1-1. If BG Pathum United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate BG Pathum United (1,761) and Ratchaburi (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BG Pathum United
4-3-3- 11P. Gustavsson
- 19A. Coffey
- 7Raniel
- 26A. Belmonte
- 4L. James
- 6S. Yooyen
- 50E. Osmanović
- 48W. Choolthong
- 37F. Kaufmann
- 44M. Nikolic
- 28S. Anuin
Ratchaburi
4-2-3-1- 9Bruno Mendes
- 21E. Panya
- 16Roque Mesa
- 10Jonathan Viera
- 8T. Suengchitthawon
- 6Tana
- 27J. Curran
- 31S. van Wermeskerken
- 3Tarek Aggoun
- 15A. Promrak
- 99K. Phatomakkakul
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BG Pathum United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ratchaburi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 2-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Home United(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 6-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 4-6 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BG Pathum United wins, 2 draws, 2 Ratchaburi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | BG Pathum United 2-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ratchaburi 0-0 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BG Pathum United 1-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Ratchaburi 4-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Ratchaburi 0-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Ratchaburi 0-3 BG Pathum United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BG Pathum United score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ratchaburi score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ratchaburi | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BG Pathum United sit 10th in Thai League 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Ratchaburi sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
A question about BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
- The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Ratchaburi.
- Where and when is BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi played?
- BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi is played on November 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BG Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.