Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ayutthaya Stadium, Ayutthaya
The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Rayong FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ayutthaya FC (1,602) and Rayong FC (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayutthaya FC have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Rayong FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ayutthaya FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rayong FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC 1-0 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Rayong FC 2-2 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 |
| May 12, 2024 | Rayong FC 4-1 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ayutthaya FC 2-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ayutthaya FC 1-2 Rayong FC | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Rayong FC 0-1 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayutthaya FC score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayutthaya FC sit 10th in Thai League 1 (32 points from 30 matches) and Rayong FC sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya FC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Rayong FC.
- Where and when is Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC played?
- Ayutthaya FC vs Rayong FC is played on November 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ayutthaya Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.