Match

Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Wibawa Mukti, Cikarang

Bhayangkara FCBali United

The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bhayangkara FC (1,758) and Bali United (1,775).

Bhayangkara FC win44 %
Draw24 %
Bali United win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bhayangkara FC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bhayangkara FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026PSBS Biak Numfor(home)7-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026Bali United(away)1-4Liga 1
May 11, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)3-1Liga 1
May 4, 2026PSM Makassar(away)1-2Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026Persib Bandung(home)2-4Liga 1
Bali United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Persib Bandung(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 2026Dewa United(away)1-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)4-1Liga 1
May 11, 2026Pusamania Borneo(home)2-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bhayangkara FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bali United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Bali United 4-1 Bhayangkara FCLiga 1
Nov 7, 2025Bhayangkara FC 2-1 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Apr 20, 2024Bali United 2-1 Bhayangkara FCLiga 1
Oct 8, 2023Bhayangkara FC 1-2 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Mar 11, 2023Bhayangkara FC 3-1 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Dec 8, 2022Bali United 3-0 Bhayangkara FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bhayangkara FC2.41.7312/1514/15
Bali United2.11.648/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bhayangkara FC sit 5th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Bali United sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Bhayangkara FC3416513534553
8Bali United3414911574851

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United?
The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bali United.
Where and when is Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United played?
Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United is played on May 15, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Wibawa Mukti, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bhayangkara FC and Bali United

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