Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Wibawa Mukti, Cikarang
The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bhayangkara FC (1,758) and Bali United (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bhayangkara FC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bhayangkara FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bali United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United 4-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bhayangkara FC 2-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bali United 2-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 1-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 3-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Bali United 3-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bali United vs Bhayangkara FC on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bhayangkara FC sit 5th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Bali United sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United?
- The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Bali United.
- Where and when is Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United played?
- Bhayangkara FC vs Bali United is played on May 15, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Wibawa Mukti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Dewa UnitedvsPersik Kediri
- May 12, 2027Malut UnitedvsPersepam Madura Utd
- May 13, 2027Persib BandungvsPersebaya Surabaya
- May 13, 2027PSM MakassarvsPersijap
- May 14, 2027Arema FCvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- May 14, 2027Pusamania BorneovsPSS Sleman
- May 14, 2027PersijavsPersita
- May 15, 2027AdhyaksavsGarudayaksa