Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC 3-1 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
- The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
- Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on May 14, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 12, 2027Dewa UnitedvsPersik Kediri
- May 12, 2027Malut UnitedvsPersepam Madura Utd
- May 13, 2027Persib BandungvsPersebaya Surabaya
- May 13, 2027PSM MakassarvsPersijap
- May 14, 2027Pusamania BorneovsPSS Sleman
- May 14, 2027PersijavsPersita
- May 15, 2027Bhayangkara FCvsBali United
- May 15, 2027AdhyaksavsGarudayaksa