Match

Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCPSIM Yogyakarta

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).

Arema FC win48 %
Draw26 %
PSIM Yogyakarta win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
PSIM Yogyakarta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Arema FC(away)1-3Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)2-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Malut United(home)2-0Liga 1
May 4, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026Persita(home)0-1Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Arema FC 3-1 PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1
Aug 16, 2025PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 Arema FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta on May 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
PSIM Yogyakarta1.31.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748
11PSIM Yogyakarta34111211434445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
Where and when is Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on May 14, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arema FC and PSIM Yogyakarta

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