Bhayangkara FC vs Dewa United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on March 4, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Wibawa Mukti, Cikarang
The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dewa United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Dewa United?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Bhayangkara FC (1,758) and Dewa United (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bhayangkara FC have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bhayangkara FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dewa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Dewa United 0-2 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC 1-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Bhayangkara FC 2-3 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Dewa United 2-2 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 1-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Dewa United 2-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dewa United vs Bhayangkara FC on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bhayangkara FC sit 5th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bhayangkara FC vs Dewa United?
- The Footlab model makes Bhayangkara FC the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dewa United.
- Where and when is Bhayangkara FC vs Dewa United played?
- Bhayangkara FC vs Dewa United is played on March 4, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wibawa Mukti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.